NFL Week 17

finally NFL is here! Here are my picks for today! Good luck if anyone is playing!

1. Sunday December 28th Tampa Bay -13
The Raiders looked great last week in the final game at home but don’t look for a repeat performance this week. Tampa needs the win and have killed their own position down the stretch. It is also the last game for DC Monty Kiffin. Tampa Bay has lost three straight and now not only needs to beat Oakland, but also hope for Philadelphia to beat Dallas to earn a post-season berth. The Bucs are 20-12-1 ATS at home in December and 27-10 ATS after losing SU as favorites. The Raiders have come up short in 20 of their last 25 on the road during the final month of the season and dropped 17 of their last 21 finales ATS. Oakland is 0-7 ATS vs. NFC and loses big!

2. Sunday December 28th Philly -2
This is a big game for both squads as it is a must win to even have a shot at the playoffs. The Cowboys had a big chance but lost at home when the defense collapsed in the waning minutes of the game. Philadelphia is 25-8 ATS avenging a close loss by seven points or less. The Eagles are also 8-1 ATS off a division setback. Dallas has flopped in 19 of its last 26 season finales ATS. There is nothing McNabb would like more than to send T.O. home for the playoffs. A big game from McNabb and Westbrook will put Dallas to rest for the season.

3. Sunday December 28th Vikings -6.5
The Giants have nothing left to play for while the Vikings have everything in the world to play for. Minnesota wins the NFC North with a victory or a Chicago loss. The Vikings play very well at home and the Giants will look to avoid injuries. The defending champs are 12-19 as road favorites of three or more and 10-16 ATS on the road after allowing 28 points or more. The Giants should just go through the motions and this will be close if not an outright win for the Vikings.
4. Sunday December 28th Houston -2.5
The Bears won an overtime game on Monday night to stay alive in the playoffs but now have to go to Houston. The Texans were playing great ball until they ran into a buzz saw in the pathetic Oakland Raiders. The last game at home and off an embarrassment the Texans will throttle the Bears on a short week. Chicago has struggled on the road down the stretch, posing an 8-29-1 spread mark on the road in December and failing at a 2-10-2 clip in its last 14 tries. The Bears are 6-10-1 ATS on the highway against AFC opponents. Take the Texans to win big!

5. Sunday December 28th Jets -3

The Jets need this win and they need the Patriots to lose if they are going to make into the playoffs. New York has won 12 of 16 against Miami, including a 24-14 win as 2 1/2-point road favorites this year. The Jets have ‘covered’ at a torrid 12-3-2 clip versus the Dolphins at the Meadowlands. Miami has dropped 14 of its last 20 road finales ATS and is 10-25 ATS versus division foes the last four week of the season. Miami is a pathetic 49-72 ATS vs. the division. The Jets win after an embarrassment last week in Seattle.
6 Sunday December 28th Buffalo +6.5
Everyone is talking about how the Patriots need the Jets to win or Baltimore to lose to make the playoffs, but hold the phone. The Patriots still need to win to make sure that they even have a shot at the playoffs and as you can tell by the performance in Buffalo the bill are not done playing by a long shot. They have cashed seven of nine as home dogs off a SU win and would love to knock New England out of the playoffs after all the beatings they have taken by them this year.
7. Sunday December 28th Bengals -2.5
No one has been paying attention but the bengals are playing pretty good football. They have a solid ground game in Cedric Benson who put up some gaudy numbers last week against the Browns and the defense has been playing well overall. This week they play a bad team with a bad defense and have a shot at ending the season on a good note. The Bengals have covered 15 of 17 versus poor pass defenses – allowing seven or more yards per play – during the second half of the season. The Bengals win in easy fashion over a tired KC team.


Bowl Games-Take it to a new level

Well at least my fist post here was a winner! I wanted to try a few more for today’s bowl games. If anyone stops by to read these I could use some help with this Word Press thingy too. It’s new to me so I am trying to make it look fancy but it has been slow going.

On to the Bowl Games

North Carolina +2–The Tarheels have had a great season and WV has been up and down. the heels can finish off the season with a big win here and they should keep Pat White in check.Big problem for Mountaineers is 3-12 ATS mark away from home vs. ACC foes.

Carolina on the other hand has some good things in their favor.Coach Butch Davis teams are 6-0 ATS after no-cover in two out of three affairs.North Carolina is 12-13 and 9-6-1 ATS in bowls, with West Virginia 12-16 and desultory 6-12-1 ATS, including 0-4 against the number as favorites. The ACC has won and covered five of the six Car Care bowls with the Big East 1-4 SU and ATS.

Wisconsin +5.5

This is a play on experience as the Badgers have a ton of senior talent in this game, the other team with this much senior leadership was FAU and you were able to see what they did last night.Wisconsin is 6-3 ATS as bowl underdog and will attack the Noles run defense which was exploited in November for 192.6 yards per game. The Badgers run all over Bowden and the Noles!

California -10

This is a big number but with a ton of suspensions and little motivation, Miami is in trouble.

The Canes are just 4-12 ATS after the first month of the season over the last two seasons,and they will be facing a hostile crowd with Cal right down the street.Cal is 11-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last three seasons.Cal wins in a laugher!

Enjoy the day and thanks for reading!

Take it all in –Friday NBA

Well since I started a blog I might as well post a game that I am betting on tonight–I love basketball and think it is one of my best sports when it comes to handicapping.

New Orleans -2

The Hornets are much better than they played on X-mas against Orlando. Going home will help this team as they play the Rockets tonight.Being at home has made all the difference in this series.The host in the series has won three straight games by an average of 13.3 PPG. Don’t worry about the back to back spot because the hornets are 30-15 ATS in back to back games and have revenge!

I found a system to use in this game tonight while gathering information.

Play Against – Road teams (HOUSTON) after having won 2 of their last 3 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
109-58 over the last 5 seasons.  ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )

8-2 this year.  ( 80.0% | 5.8 units )

I don’t know where many of you bet but I mostly use Bet Jamaica and WagerWeb? If you think there is somewhere better let me know! If you decide to follow my play and it wins, great no need to thank me. If you decide to follow me and it loses, sorry and no need to bash me. Just taking a gamble!

Take a Leap

Well when i decided to write a blog I figured I might as well and try my best to make it interesting. I am not a writer, nor do I pretend to be. I would be lost without spell checker but here goes!

I decided to take a leap and try Word Press and write my own blog. This is the space where I would tell you what its going to be about but I am not sure what that is going to be, maybe a variety of things. I like sports and like to bet on them (thus the witty title) and I have a great family and a cool job! So who knows but I thought the best way to go about it would be to start posting. So for whomever stumbles upon this blog I hope you enjoy it and if you want to chime in with anything then “take a gamble!” It’ can’t be any worse then mine!

Life’s a Gamble!