Tag Archives: Baltimore Ravens

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Now on to the picks!

NFC Championship

This post season has been a post season for the underdogs and its nice to get a home one for this game. The Cardinals are at home and that to me is a huge, because they have played well here all year. Here is a great stat against the Eagles.Since 1982, teams that knock off the Super Bowl champ are 0-10 straight up and 1-9 against the spread the following week! That is amazing and that just shows you how hard it is to rebound from a big win in the playoffs like that!

The Cardinals have been doing it with defense and running and the fact that no one can stop Larry Fitzgerald.

Arizona +3
Arizona +3

The Cardinals have’covered seven of their last 10 at home and look great with the points this week!The energy and the crowd will help the Cardinals get revenge for a loss to the Eagles earlier this season.

Take the points and the Cardinals!

Arizona +3

AFC Championship

The Steelers have looked poised all year to make a run at the big game as they have played the best defense in the game. This week they face  a Ravens team that they have already beaten twice with a unproven rookie at the helm in Joe Flaco.Baltimore has cashed eight of nine against conference foes and six of seven versus division opponents.

Ravens +6
Ravens +6

The Ravens are 9-0 ATS coming off an extremely close road win by three points or less as well. Even thought they are at home it will be asking for alot to have a team beat another team for the third time in the season.The Steelers have come up short in four of their last five ATS in conference championship games.Pittsburgh has also dropped nine straight spread decisions after scoring 35 points or more in its last game.Baltimore has won 11 of its past 13 games and is 7-3 on the road, including 2-0 in the postseason. This will be a tough game that will go down to the wire with Baltimore having a real shot of pulling off what seems like the impossible upset. Take the Ravens plus the points as meetings between these two teams always end up close!

Ravens +6

AFC WildCard game: Ravens at Dolphins

AFC Wild Card

Ravens @ Dolphins

See the latest line here!
See the latest line here!

These two teams have shocked the world by even making it this far.

The Ravens had to do it with a young offenisve unit and rookie coach behind an aging defense.

For the Dolphins they had to come out of the cellar with the the help of a new coach and a new sherriff in town in Bill Parcells.

One thing that we noticed yesterday is that the home teams will be playing tough and we get our second rookie signal caller on the road. Miami comes into the game with revenge for losing in week seven. When it comes to turnovers this game gets interesting. Baltimore has caused the most in the league while the Dolphins are the best at holding  on the the ball. So in essence something has to give.

Can the ravens stop the Wildcat?
Can the ravens stop the Wildcat?

The Ravens covered five of last six road games, but are just 1-8 ATS as road chalk. Teams like Miami that have not been in the playoffs for three or more years are 18-8 ATS in the Wild Card round and they are 18-6 ATS revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points.

Note that Ravens rookie QB Joe Flacco did not start or end the regular season particularly well. Through five games, he had just one TD against seven INT’s and 2:3 ratio over the final four games. With Matt Ryan’s loss yesterday, rookie QB’s dropped to 2-7 all-time in the first-time playoff starts.

Home Underdogs in the Wildcard Round are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS since ’95 as mentioned yesterday and Miami has the talent to keep this close. As I mentioned Miami is very good at holding on to the ball one of the best in the league and that is good news.

Turnovers have proven to be the most crucial of these factors, as teams that have turned the ball over fewer times in a playoff game are an incredible 119-24-3 ATS (83.2%).

Did you get in the contest?
Did you get in the contest?

The fish keep this close where the points are worth the take and don’t be surprised if they are moving on to the next round!

Miami +3.5