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Now on to the game. I am not a fan of either team so it is very easy for me to stay neutral in this game. I am a big fan of the Cardinals mainly because they are an underdog and in this game it is very easy to root for the Cinderella story! The problem is this clock has struck midnight. The Cardinals had a great run and I am impressed with Warner and love the fact that everyone now knows who Larry Fitzgerald is, but sorry Cardinals fans the Steelers have the edge here.
Let’s start with experience which almost every Steeler player has and teams playing in their first Super Bowl versus an experienced opponent are 5-11 ATS.That’s not all.
The hardest one for me to ignore is that highly rated defense. Objectors would state that Philly had the #3 defense, but it does not match to this defense and the plan that Dick LeBeau can come up with to counter whatever the Cardinals throw at them. The guy is a defensive genius! He has a game plan that will take some time for Warner and his gifted wideouts to get used to. In the meantime the Cardinals offense will have their hands full because the running game is solid for the Steelers and if that is not enough the passing game behind Big Ben is not too shabby either. He has the reliable Hines Ward and deep threats with Holmes and Co. The Cardinals have to be flawless or they are looking at a hole that they will have to play out of.
It won’t happen and the pressure will cause Warner to go back to his turnover ways and abandon the run. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS off home win and 32-16 ATS off game w/ TO margin of +3 or better. Steelers roll!
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This post season has been a post season for the underdogs and its nice to get a home one for this game. The Cardinals are at home and that to me is a huge, because they have played well here all year. Here is a great stat against the Eagles.Since 1982, teams that knock off the Super Bowl champ are 0-10 straight up and 1-9 against the spread the following week! That is amazing and that just shows you how hard it is to rebound from a big win in the playoffs like that!
The Cardinals have been doing it with defense and running and the fact that no one can stop Larry Fitzgerald.
The Cardinals have’covered seven of their last 10 at home and look great with the points this week!The energy and the crowd will help the Cardinals get revenge for a loss to the Eagles earlier this season.
The Steelers have looked poised all year to make a run at the big game as they have played the best defense in the game. This week they face a Ravens team that they have already beaten twice with a unproven rookie at the helm in Joe Flaco.Baltimore has cashed eight of nine against conference foes and six of seven versus division opponents.
The Ravens are 9-0 ATS coming off an extremely close road win by three points or less as well. Even thought they are at home it will be asking for alot to have a team beat another team for the third time in the season.The Steelers have come up short in four of their last five ATS in conference championship games.Pittsburgh has also dropped nine straight spread decisions after scoring 35 points or more in its last game.Baltimore has won 11 of its past 13 games and is 7-3 on the road, including 2-0 in the postseason. This will be a tough game that will go down to the wire with Baltimore having a real shot of pulling off what seems like the impossible upset. Take the Ravens plus the points as meetings between these two teams always end up close!
I am back after a break to take on the NFC Divisional game between the Eagles and the Giants! The winner takes on the surprising Arizona Cardinals.
When it comes to hot teams, the Eagles are flying higher then the defending champions right now heading into this game. In fact the Eagles have already beaten them in the meadowlands this year so the Eagles will not be intidated coming into this game. The difference is this time the Gianst will have a healthy backfield to rush with.
The Giants have cashed eight of their last nine avenging a home loss and they have ‘covered’ 10 of 11 versus good teams – outscoring opponents by 6+ points per game.The defending champs are 8-2 as favorites of between 3 1/2 and 9 1/2 points this year. In fact the Boys in blue are 5-0 ATS in playoff games and 6-0 ATS revenging loss as favorit.
The Giants know how to turn it up in the post season and beat the Eagles handedly today!
I could have done better in the wild card games yesterday but I look to redeem myself in tonight’s game between Ohio St and Texas.
Texas has to be wishing they were in a bigger bowl game and that alone could leave them with no motivation in tonight’s game and you could get a similar reaction that Alabama had playing in the sugar bowl.
For Ohio St. the motivation is there as they have been known to lose the big game and to lose it badly and if they do not pull the win out in this game the reputation will get only worse.
5 Things to know about the Fiesta Bowl
Here are five things you may not have known for this game tonight.
1) Tressell is working on several different offensive looks to employ against the Texas defense with multiple QB’s running the show.
2)Texas has been a bad bet in bowl games.Texas is just 8-16 ATS all-time in Bowl games and 5-12 ATS as Bowl favorites.
3)Ohio State is 4-1 all-time in the Fiesta Bowl winning three in the last six years.
4) Ohio St returns 19 retuning starters and will be experienced in the big bowl game.
5)The Fiesta Bowl has seen the underdog win and cover five of last seven
All of these lead me to believe that the points are the way to go in this one tonight!