Back after a break with some solid plays for the NBA!
The theme tonight seems to be bad teams and small lines, and that usually sets off my radar. Everyone has the it looks to good to be true theory and the stinky line. The theory is Vegas is on to something or it looks too good to be true and this is all over the place tonight and in the first game.
Phoenix just -4 at lowly Washington? What gives? Normally I would hop all over this game and take the home team getting the small points, but not here. I have noticed when teams are on a extended road trip in the NBA the goal is to go .500 or better. If the Suns get that they can achieve a 3-3 mark on this trip and that might be just what the Suns need to motivate them here. I am staying away from the this side but I will play the total.
The Suns realized that is they play some defense they may win and the shut out the Hawks in the last six minutes of the game and that is something that they will preach tonight to try and get another win. On the other side of the ball the Wizards return from a road trip and this is always a good time to back the under if the road trip was three games or more. This game should go under the posted total as the Suns lead with defense and the Wizards are still sluggish from the road.
Like Washington +4 who very well could cover…… the next game follows suit with a small number as the Rockets are just 2 point favorites on the road against the Knicks. This one I really want to bite on but the problem is you never know who is going to show up for the Rockets. When T-Mac is in Yao is not or Artest is out. The thing is I don’t think it matters tonight and I like the Knicks here as I think they should be favored.
i like it even more if Yao suits up. The Rockets are 5-15 ATS after an ATS win and the Knicks are 11-1 ATS after scoring 105+ in 3 straight game. The Knicks are playing inspired basketball and they will get the win at home tonight.
Miami takes on the Heat in the next game and they are off a very big win in a game against the Magic. “It’s very satisfying to get this one,” Wade said. “We had to prove to ourselves, once again, that we can beat the elite teams.” This shows just how much it meant and how letdown will be in effect tonight. In fact it also sets up for some bad trends for Heat backers, they are just 2-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog and they are 3-10 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent.
The Hawks need to start winning and the Heat may be just what they need. They are 12-4 ATS as road pups and should catch the Heat napping. The Hawks and the points is how I am headed tonight.
If I have more time later I will post reasons for the rest but since I am fighting against the clock I will post all of these now.
Oklahoma City -1.5
Clippers +10.5
Philly +3
Philly +135
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