Will be back postintg hoops on a regualr basis so make sure to check out the blog when you can!
Ohio St +2
Over Bulls/Rockets 197.5
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My superbowl selection is posted below in the next post or you can go do it here:
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The Jazz come in with some revenge for an absolute drubbing they took in San Antonio last time out. Utah has cashed five of six versus San Antonio at Energy Solutions Arena and have cashed 20 of 27 versus Southwest Division rivals. The Spurs are 8-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less and the Jazz are 11-2 ATS at home off back to back ATS losses. It may be asking a lot for the Spurs to lose again but I will take the home team here.
This is it for me tonight!
Back after a break with some solid plays for the NBA!
The theme tonight seems to be bad teams and small lines, and that usually sets off my radar. Everyone has the it looks to good to be true theory and the stinky line. The theory is Vegas is on to something or it looks too good to be true and this is all over the place tonight and in the first game.
Phoenix just -4 at lowly Washington? What gives? Normally I would hop all over this game and take the home team getting the small points, but not here. I have noticed when teams are on a extended road trip in the NBA the goal is to go .500 or better. If the Suns get that they can achieve a 3-3 mark on this trip and that might be just what the Suns need to motivate them here. I am staying away from the this side but I will play the total.
The Suns realized that is they play some defense they may win and the shut out the Hawks in the last six minutes of the game and that is something that they will preach tonight to try and get another win. On the other side of the ball the Wizards return from a road trip and this is always a good time to back the under if the road trip was three games or more. This game should go under the posted total as the Suns lead with defense and the Wizards are still sluggish from the road.
Like Washington +4 who very well could cover…… the next game follows suit with a small number as the Rockets are just 2 point favorites on the road against the Knicks. This one I really want to bite on but the problem is you never know who is going to show up for the Rockets. When T-Mac is in Yao is not or Artest is out. The thing is I don’t think it matters tonight and I like the Knicks here as I think they should be favored.
i like it even more if Yao suits up. The Rockets are 5-15 ATS after an ATS win and the Knicks are 11-1 ATS after scoring 105+ in 3 straight game. The Knicks are playing inspired basketball and they will get the win at home tonight.
Miami takes on the Heat in the next game and they are off a very big win in a game against the Magic. “It’s very satisfying to get this one,” Wade said. “We had to prove to ourselves, once again, that we can beat the elite teams.” This shows just how much it meant and how letdown will be in effect tonight. In fact it also sets up for some bad trends for Heat backers, they are just 2-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog and they are 3-10 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent.
The Hawks need to start winning and the Heat may be just what they need. They are 12-4 ATS as road pups and should catch the Heat napping. The Hawks and the points is how I am headed tonight.
If I have more time later I will post reasons for the rest but since I am fighting against the clock I will post all of these now.
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Hoping that posting earlier will help get me going in the right direction for Friday.
NY/Memphis Under 202
Hornets Wolves Over 194
Golden St. +7
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Memphis @ Charlotte–Really wanted to back Memphis as they played hard against the Pistons but The Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS versus Southeast foes, 2-9 ATS on the road and 0-6 ATS overall and those are numbers I can’t back and I am not ready trust Charlotte as 6 point favorites against anyone.
Boston @ Miami–this line is low enough to attract Boston bettors and they seem to have rebounded very well after the losing streak. The thing is I am on the Heat. I love to back home teams coming off a road trip of 3 games or more as a small number either way. The Celtics just beat the Suns and will have one eye on the meeting with the Magic tomorrow and look right past the heat. Boston has faltered in seven of its last 10 on the road ATS and the Celtics are 0-6 ATS of late when facing teams with a winning record.
Raptors @ Detroit–passing on this game but I suggest that if you take the Raptors you look at the injury reports because they have been playing about nine deep in the last two to three games and that has to be catching up with them. The Raptors have failed in five of their last seven visits ATS and in six of seven against the Pistons overall. If I was going to play it would be Detroit, but I am passing as mentioned.
Phoenix @ New York–The Suns are on the end of a road trip and you have to imagine the K nicks may have this one circled on the calendar. Mike D’Antoni had a shot at his former club and blew it but now they are in a much better position. Phoenix has been one of the worst bets on the board since the end of November (5-17-1 ATS). The Suns have stumbled in six of their last eight against New York ATS. They are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 11 outings on the road and 0-4-1 ATS outside their conference. The Knicks have covered at an 8-3-1 rate when facing winning teams and four straight versus Pacific Division opposition.Knicks keep it close to the wire tonight.
Dallas @ Milwaukee–The Mavericks haven’t had much luck at the Bradley Center, dropping eight straight ATS. The Bucks look to rebound after losing two straight but they will have to take on a healthy Dallas squad to do it. Dallas is is 6-20-1 ATS when facing Central Division denizens. The Bucks have cashed eight straight versus Southwest Division opponents. Dallas is 7-19 ATS off road win That is enough for me to take my third home dog tonight.
Taking over the total in this game too. The Mavericks started slow in Philly but will be heated up and ready to score and Milwaukee will keep pace.Eleven of the past 14 series scuffles have tipped over. Milwaukee has gone over in eight of its last 10 tries. Take the over in a this high scoring affair.
Utah @ Houston–I simply love Utah in this game as they match up well against the Rockets and always play them tough. The Jazz lost in their initial visit to the Toyota Center as nine-point dogs, 120-115, but cashed for the sixth time in seven road meetings. They are 11-4 ATS in the past 15 clashes with the Rockets. Utah has also covered 20 of 27 versus Southwest Division opponents. Houston has sputtered in 10 of 14 ATS overall and dropped six of eight spread decisions at home. The Jazz are worth a look on the moneyline here.
OKC @ Golden St.–passing but if I were to like anything in this game it would be the over but what else do you expect in a Golden St game?
Lakers @ Clippers–With or without Kobe the Lakers can’t be taking the Clippers seriously and I can’t bet on the Clippers, pass.
Wizards @ Kings–I can’t back the Kings as favorites nor can I back the Wizards on the road, another pass for me.
Cleveland @ Portland–I know it may not seem like it, but I think the Blazers are better than the Cavs and with a home court they should cruise tonight. Portland has cashed six of eight versus Cleveland at the Rose Garden and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six confrontations. The Cavaliers have faded in five of six on the road ATS while the Blazers have cashed 15 of 22 at home.
Good Luck tonight!
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Now on to the picks!
This post season has been a post season for the underdogs and its nice to get a home one for this game. The Cardinals are at home and that to me is a huge, because they have played well here all year. Here is a great stat against the Eagles.Since 1982, teams that knock off the Super Bowl champ are 0-10 straight up and 1-9 against the spread the following week! That is amazing and that just shows you how hard it is to rebound from a big win in the playoffs like that!
The Cardinals have been doing it with defense and running and the fact that no one can stop Larry Fitzgerald.
The Cardinals have’covered seven of their last 10 at home and look great with the points this week!The energy and the crowd will help the Cardinals get revenge for a loss to the Eagles earlier this season.
Take the points and the Cardinals!
The Steelers have looked poised all year to make a run at the big game as they have played the best defense in the game. This week they face a Ravens team that they have already beaten twice with a unproven rookie at the helm in Joe Flaco.Baltimore has cashed eight of nine against conference foes and six of seven versus division opponents.
The Ravens are 9-0 ATS coming off an extremely close road win by three points or less as well. Even thought they are at home it will be asking for alot to have a team beat another team for the third time in the season.The Steelers have come up short in four of their last five ATS in conference championship games.Pittsburgh has also dropped nine straight spread decisions after scoring 35 points or more in its last game.Baltimore has won 11 of its past 13 games and is 7-3 on the road, including 2-0 in the postseason. This will be a tough game that will go down to the wire with Baltimore having a real shot of pulling off what seems like the impossible upset. Take the Ravens plus the points as meetings between these two teams always end up close!